2018 Oscar Predictions

Oscar predictions & Oscar winners

We’re down to the wire, with only a few hours until the telecast of the 90th annual Academy Awards. As usual, here are my 2018 Oscar predictions. I name my picks for who I think will win, as well as who I think who SHOULD win (out of the nominees) as we all know these are often two very different things. If I didn’t get to see all the nominees of a given category, then I will just offer my prediction.

Let’s begin:

Best Picture:

Who Will Win: The Shape Of Water
Who Should Win: Lady Bird

This is easily one of the trickiest Best Picture races in recent memory. It has been between Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri and The Shape Of Water for some time now, with Get Out and Dunkirk lingering as dark horse upsets as well. I think that The Shape Of Water will win based on the surprising no Best Director nomination for Three Billboards’ Martin McDonagh, but even I am not very confident at all. But for me personally, Lady Bird is my Best Picture.

Best Director:

Who Will Win: The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro
Who Should Win: The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro

This one seems pretty locked up as del Toro has absolutely dominated the competition all Awards Season long. I love the work that Peele and Gerwig did but they will have plenty of chances to win in the future. Think Nolan will win on his next nomination and just happy to see PTA nominated. However, this is del Toro’s time to shine.

Best Actress:

Who Will Win: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Who Should Win: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Would love to see Saoirse Ronan win this (and even McDormand has said as much) but this is McDormand’s to lose.

Best Actor:

Who Will Win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Who Should Win: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

Oldman has been the favorite to win this ever since that first photo was revealed of him over a year ago. His win is probably the safest bet of the entire race. Credit is due to Timothée Chalamet who gives a hell of a performance in Call Me By Your Name. His time will surely come in no time as well.

Best Supporting Actress:

Who Will Win: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Who Should Win: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Janney seems to be locked in for this but I also wouldn’t be surprised if Metcalf shocks the world and upsets out of nowhere. If there are upsets, it tends to come in the Supporting Actor categories. Janney is very good in I Tonya, but Metcalf gives a deeply layered performance in Lady Bird that the film quietly rests upon.

Best Supporting Actor:

Who Will Win: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Who Should Win: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

I can’t be mad with Rockwell’s win, but it’s also hard to stomach Dafoe seemingly being kicked out of the race for the category that he was once the frontrunner for. It’s one of the best performances of the year and it’s a shame that The Florida Project didn’t even get nominated for Best Picture (yet Darkest Hour did)

Best Original Screenplay:

Who Will Win: Get Out, Jordan Peele
Who Should Win: Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig

Many are favoriting Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri for this one that my happen but something in my gut says Jordan Peele and Get Out may take home the prize. For me, it’s Lady Bird, but sadly I don’t think that will happen.

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Who Will Win: Call Me by Your Name, James Ivory
Who Should Win: Call Me by Your Name, James Ivory

This one seems like a pretty safe bet.

Best Cinematography:

Who Will Win: Blade Runner 2049, Roger Deakins
Who Should Win: Blade Runner 2049, Roger Deakins

It’s Deakins time.

Best Animated Feature:

Who Will Win: Coco

Who Should Win: Coco

Coco should take this home. But let’s pour one out for The Lego Batman movie which somehow didn’t even get nominated.

Best Foreign Film:

Who Will Win: A Fantastic Woman (Chile)

Best Documentary:

Who Will Win: Faces Places

Best Original Score:

Who Will Win: The Shape of Water, Alexandre Desplat
Who Should Win: Phantom Thread, Jonny Greenwood

Think the overall momentum of The Shape of Water will carry Desplat to win this but this should go to Greenwood for Phantom Thread. I would love to be proven wrong here.

Best Original Song:

Who Will Win: “Remember Me,” Coco
Who Should Win: “Remember Me,” Coco/ “Mystery of Love” from Call Me by Your Name

Hopefully, the Oscar’s have more sense than the Globes and give it to “Remember Me” over the cheesy “This Is Me” from The Greatest Showman. I’d freak out if Sufjan Stevens and Call Me by Your Name won as well but sadly “This Is Me” stands a greater chance than that, which just isn’t right.

Best Sound Editing:

Who Will Win: Dunkirk
Who Should Win: Dunkirk

Hard to argue against the war movie here.

Best Sound Mixing:

Who Will Win: Dunkirk
Who Should Win: Dunkirk

See above.

Best Film Editing:

Who Will Win: Dunkirk, Lee Smith
Who Should Win: Baby Driver/em>, Jonathan Amos, Paul Machliss

Lee Smith/em>Dunkirk are the favorites but I think Baby Driver is a lot closer than people would guess. It is definitely a trademark strength in all of Edgar Wright’s films. Either way, both are quite deserving.

Best Costume Design:

Who Will Win: Phantom Thread
Who Should Win: Phantom Thread

Production Design:

Who Will Win: The Shape Of Water
Who Should Win: Blade Runner 2049

Makeup and Hair:

Who Will Win: Darkest Hour
Who Should Win: Darkest Hour

Best Visual Effects:

Who Will Win: War for the Planet of the Apes
Who Should Win: War for the Planet of the Apes

Best Animated Short:

Who Will Win: Dear Basketball

Best Documentary Short:

Who Will Win: Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405

Best Live Action Short:

Who Will Win: DeKalb Elementary