2018 Oscar Nominations Predictions

This has been one of the more unpredictable Oscar races in recent years, with no film really stepping out as a clear frontrunner for more than a given moment. It seems recent momentum is building with Three Billboards as a result of its victories at both the Golden Globes and more recently at the SAG Awards. The individual actor races seem more clear-cut this year but there is always plenty of room for last minute surprises.

The official nominations will come tomorrow morning at 8:22 ET. Here are my last minute 2018 Oscar nominations predictions for who I think will be nominated:

Best Picture:

Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I’d say I’m pretty confident about all of these making it in, with maybe a bit of doubt about I, Tonya. But I have a feeling it may sneak in there. I’d love to be proven wrong and see The Big Sick get a nomination, but it seems doubtful that will happen.

Best Director:

Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

With all the talks of inclusion, one has to think that Gerwig and Peele get in, especially after Natalie Portman’s remarks at the Globes. It’s hard to imagine Spielberg and Guadagnino not getting in here but there’s only so many spots, especially with Guillermo del Toro, Nolan and McDonagh seeming like sure bets. Would be cool to see Sean Baker sneak in here but it doesn’t seem likely.

Best Actress:

Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Meryl Streep – The Post
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird

One of the most competitive Best Actress races in recent memory, it seems safe to say that these are our five nominees. I would love to see Jessica Chastain or even Annette Bening swapped for Meryl Streep but it doesn’t likely to happen.

Best Actor:

Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Timothêe Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name

We all know Oldman, Chalamet, and Day-Lewis are locks here, which gives room for two more. It seems likely Kaluuya will get in for Get Out and I think Franco still makes the cut (despite the recent allegations) since many had already cast their votes before the accusations came out. Wouldn’t mind seeing Tom Hanks get nominated as he is long overdue for another nomination and was great in The Post.

Best Supporting Actress

Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Hong Chau – Downsizing
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound

Janney, Metcalf, and Hunter are the safe bets here. Octavia Spencer and Lesley Manville are just on the brink of getting in but it seems with the SAG nominations that it’s likely Mary J. Blige and Hong Chau get in. But this is a catagory we could see it go down a variety of different ways.

Best Supporting Actor

Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name
Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

I feel confident with Rockwell, Dafoe, Harrelson, and Jenkins here. The last spot feels like a battle between Call Me By Your Name’s Armie Hammer and Michael Stuhlbarg. Something tells me if the two split votes that Stuhlbarg may come out on top thanks to that monologue which left audiences in tears. Who knows, Christopher Plummer may be the dark horse that sneaks in tomorrow morning after the incredible work he did in such short notice. I am going with my gut and predicting a shocking nomination for Stuhlbarg.

Best Original Screenplay

Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

It’s possible that The Big Sick, Phantom Thread or The Post get nominated as well but these are the five I’m going with.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly’s Game
Mudbound

Best Animated Feature

The Breadwinner
Coco
The Lego Batman Movie
Loving Vincent
Mary and the Witch’s Flower

Best Cinematography

Ben Davis – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Dan Laustsen – The Shape of Water
Hoyte van Hoytema – Dunkirk
Roger Deakins – Blade Runner 2049
Sayombhu Mukdeeprom – Call Me by Your Name

Best Production Design

Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

Best Costume Design

Beauty And The Beast
The Greatest Showman
Murder On The Orient Express
Phantom Thread
The Shape Of Water

Best Film Editing

Baby Driver
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Original Score

Coco
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape Of Water

Best Original Song

Beauty and the Beast – “Evermore”
Call Me By Your Name – “The Mystery Of Love”
Coco – “Remember Me”
The Greatest Showman – “This Is Me”
Marshall – “Stand Up For Something”

Best Visual Effects

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Wonder

Best Sound Mixing:

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Sound Editing:

Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Documentary:

City Of Ghosts
Faces Places
Icarus
Jane
Last Men In Aleppo

Best Foreign Film:

A Fantastic Woman
Foxtrot
In The Fade
Loveless
The Square