Will’s 2016 Oscar Predictions

Oscars 2016

Tomorrow night is the big night for Hollywood, the 88th annual Academy Awards. All of the “best” films of 2015 will be celebrated tomorrow night, with winners taking a prized Oscar award home. We took some time to go through the nominations and submit both who we think will win, and who should win (out of the nominations), as we know these are often two very different things.

This year seems to be one of the most unpredictable years in recent memory, as aside from the lead acting categories there doesn’t seem to be any universal frontrunners, which will make for an exciting and surprising telecast for sure.

We started things off with Kate’s picks yesterday, and now here is my list of all 24 categories.

Best Picture:

If you asked me last year, I would’ve said that Spotlight or The Big Short were the frontrunners, but The Revenant has picked up some serious steam in the last few weeks with a lot of big wins at other Award shows. This may have swayed the vote to its favor, but it’s no sure thing. It will be interesting to see who wins, but for me, Mad Max: Fury Road should be bringing home the bacon.

Will Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Director:

Conventional wisdom says that it makes sense for Best Picture and Best Director should go hand and hand. But don’t tell that to Ben Affleck, who wasn’t even nominated even though Argo even though it ended up winning BP. It seems like Alejandro González Iñárritu will be taking home best director for the 2nd year in a row, which would be an insane feat, even though last year I think it should’ve been Mr. Linklater’s. Again, I think George Miller did some incredible work on Mad Max, but unless there’s an incredible upset, this is going to Iñárritu.

Will Win: Alejandro González Iñárritu
Should Win: George Miller

Best Actor:

This is Leo’s award. And naturally, since it’s Leo, and he’s a clear frontrunner for once, it’s now cool to hate on the performance. Well you won’t find any from me. Leo is my guy. The only other nominee whose performance is somewhat close is Michael Fassbender.

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Best Actress:

Just like Best Actor, Best Actress is one of the few categories I’m truly confident about. This is Brie Larson’s to lose. While I do wish Cate Blanchett and Saoirse Ronan would get a bit more love, I really can’t argue with the praise that Larson is getting. She deserved a nomination for the little seen but beautiful Short Term 12, and this victory for her would make me feel better about that total snub.

Will Win: Brie Larson
Should Win: Brie Larson

Best Supporting Actor:

Any other year this would be Rylance’s night, but there’s a reason so many people are pulling for Sylvester Stallone. His performance in Creed wasn’t flashy, but he really hit it out of the park in ways I honestly didn’t know he was capable of. It would be great to see him take this home after year’s of devotion to this character.

Will Win: Sylvester Stallone
Should Win: Sylvester Stallone

Best Supporting Actress:

Alicia Vikander is the favorite, but for me it was Rooney Mara’s performance in Carol that stood out the most amongst all the other performances. I also wouldn’t mind seeing Kate Winslet, who did a lot with her role in Steve Jobs. Don’t get me wrong Vikander was good, but I found The Danish Girl to be a disappointment, and unfortunately Vikander’s solid performance wasn’t enough to save it. Carol got robbed of so many other categories, a win for Mara would be some sweet redemption.

Will Win: Alicia Vikander
Should Win: Rooney Mara

Best Original Screenplay:

Likely to go to the rather tight screenplay for Spotlight, but I think it deserves to go to the clever and heartbreaking script of Inside Out, which hit so many range of emotions. Either way, it’s deserving.

Will Win: Spotlight
Should Win: Inside Out

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Considering the dense topic and source material, the fact that The Big Short worked as well as it did is pretty much a miracle. It deserves this award, although Carol was also wonderfully written.

Will Win: The Big Short
Should Win: The Big Short

Best Cinematography:

What Emmanuel Lubezki did with The Revenant was simply breathtaking. It will be his third win in a row, which is just insane. Especially considering this will most likely be another loss for the amazing Roger Deakins for Sicario, who is long overdue for a win.

Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki
Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki

Best Animated Film:

Anomalisa does some truly unique and amazing things that you’ll probably never see in other animated films. Yet it comes out the same year as Inside Out, a film that proved that animated films are much more than just “movies for kids.” Any other year a film like Anomalisa would probably run away with this, but unfortunately one of the other nominees just happened to be one of the best films of the year.

Will Win: Inside Out
Should Win: Inside Out

Best Foreign Language Film:

This is Son of Saul’s to lose. Mustang poises the strongest threat, but the power of Son of Saul will probably be too strong to shake. It’s extremely hard to watch, but damn is it a powerful journey.

Will Win: Son Of Saul
Should Win: Son Of Saul

Best Documentary:

I have no problem rooting for the great Amy Winehouse doc Amy to bring home the gold. But The Look Of Silence is the better made documentary, it’s just an even tougher pill to swallow, which is saying something.

Will Win: Amy
Should Win: The Look Of Silence

Best Original Song:

The only song I enjoyed from this list of nominees is “Simple Song #3,” which plays a severely huge impact in Youth. It probably doesn’t stand a chance with a Bond song, even if it is a rather bland song from Sam Smith. “Til It Happens To You,” the Lady GaGa song she did for the documentary The Hunting Ground, won at The Golden Globes, which makes it the automatic frontrunner here. But never count out the popular appeal of Mr. Smith or Bond.

Will Win: “Til It Happens to You” – The Hunting Ground
Should Win: Simple Song #3 – Youth

Best Original Score:

All the nominees are deserving of their nominations, but come on, did you hear Ennio Morricone’s score for The Hateful Eight? It’s a no-brainer.

Will Win: Ennio Morricone
Should Win: Ennio Morricone

Best Film Editing:

Spotlight and The Big Short had some great editing was well, but this is one of the many categories that Mad Max: Fury Road will sweep cleanly all the way to Valhalla

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Costume Design:

Mad Max: Fury Road all the way, although there’s plenty to adore from each of the four other nominees.

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:

Another for team Valhalla.

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Production Design:

I’m feeling Mad Max: Fury Road is gonna make a clean sweep with the production awards, but don’t count out The Revenant

Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Animated Short Film:

My gut is telling me that Pixar’s really enjoyable short Sanjay’s Super Team (which played before The Good Dinosaur) will win, but both World of Tomorrow and Bear Story are threats as well.

Will Win: Sanjay’s Super Team
Should Win: World of Tomorrow

Best Live Action Short Film:

I haven’t seen any of the live action shorts but it seems like Stutterer is the favorite:

Will Win: Stutterer

Best Documentary Short Subject:

Haven’t seen any of the nominated short docs, but it seems like Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah is the favorite here.

Will Win: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah

Best Sound Editing:

Likely going to The Revenant, but cases could be made for both Mad Max: Fury Road and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

Will Win: The Revenant
Should Win: The Revenant

Best Sound Mixing:

Same deal as above. Tough call.

Will Win: The Revenant
Should Win: The Revenant

Best Visual Effects:

All three of the original Star Wars trilogy won the award, but none of the prequels did (surprise). If there’s one spoiler for Mad Max: Fury Road, this could be it. But who knows, The Revenant’s bear scene may stick out for many voters.

Will Win: Mad Max Fury Road
Should Win: Mad Max Fury Road